← Risk register SOC 47-3016 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Helpers--Roofers

6,030 US workers · median $44,160/yr · Construction

EXPOSED

Carrying bundles of shingles up a ladder, tearing off old roofing, cleaning debris, and holding materials for a roofer are tasks no language model touches and no current robot performs on a steep, hot, irregular roof deck. The exposure here is not AI replacing the work — it's that the role is unlicensed, low-discretion, and easily filled, so wages and bargaining power stay thin while the roofer above you keeps the credential and the liability. Score reflects the modal helper, not a helper already running crews.

10-year outlook: Demand holds through the 2030s on storm repair and re-roofing cycles, but the money migrates to licensed roofers and estimators who own the customer conversation — helper wages stay flat unless you climb out of the helper tier.

Score — 52/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 19 + 20 + 3 + 5 + 5 = 52.

Task resistance 19/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Hauling 80-pound shingle bundles up an extension ladder, prying off felt and nails with a spud bar, and sweeping magnets over a lawn for stray fasteners are physical sequences with no digital analogue at all — the 19 rather than 14 reflects that even the paperwork-adjacent parts of the job (measuring squares, staging material) get done by the journeyman, so there is almost nothing here a model could touch.

Embodiment 20/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. A 6:12 pitch in July with hot asphalt underfoot, changing wind, skylight openings, and rotten decking you find by feeling it flex is the definition of an uncontrolled environment, and nothing about the work happens off the roof — this is the ceiling of the scale, not merely near it.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licenses roofing helpers; the contractor's license, the OSHA 1926.501 fall-protection duty, and the workmanship warranty all attach to the employer, so the only thing you personally carry is the injury risk — the 3 rather than 0 acknowledges OSHA 10 cards and fall-protection training being commonly required on commercial jobs.

Trust premium 5/20

Anonymous artifact production. Homeowners hire the roofing company and remember the salesman or the crew lead, not the helper carrying bundles; the 5 rather than 0 is because you are physically at someone's house for days and repeat GCs do request specific reliable hands by name.

Judgment & accountability 5/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. Nail spacing, courses, flashing laps, and tear-off sequence are all called by the roofer you are handing material to, and your calls are limited to things like where to stage the bundle or when the tarp needs to go down before rain — real but low-stakes, which is a 5 rather than a 10.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers SAFE · 71/100 · you already have ~79% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operations Analysis, Operation and Control

Roofers SAFE · 70/100 · you already have ~77% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operation and Control, Operations Analysis, Operations Monitoring

Terrazzo Workers and Finishers SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~76% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operations Analysis, Operation and Control, Science

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.