← Risk register SOC 51-4072 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

150,470 US workers · median $44,350/yr · Production

EXPOSED

The daily work — loading molds, setting temperature and pressure parameters, starting cycles, pulling parts, trimming flash, gauging dimensions, logging scrap — happens on a shop floor with hot metal and heavy tooling, which language AI cannot touch. The real threat is older and more proven: all-electric presses with recipe libraries, automated part-removal robots, conveyor takeoff, and vision-based inspection already let one technician tend cells that used to need three tenders. Setup judgment (diagnosing short shots, flash, warpage, sink marks and dialing in the fix) is the tier that persists; pure tending is the tier that keeps thinning.

10-year outlook: Employment keeps eroding as automated cells and vision inspection replace tenders, while the smaller pool of setup-and-troubleshoot technicians sees stable demand and rising pay.

Score — 34/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 14 + 1 + 2 + 6 = 34.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Mold changes, pulling a hot sprue, clamping a die and re-shimming a gate are still hand work, but the tending half of the job — watch cycle, take part, put in bin, hit reset — is already done by takeout robots and conveyors on new presses, which is why this sits at 11 rather than up with millwrights.

Embodiment 14/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You work within arm's reach of 400°F barrels, 200-ton clamp forces and molten metal, breaking loose stuck cores and cleaning vents on your knees with the press open — the environment is uncontrolled enough for 14, though it's a fixed machine in a known bay rather than a roof or a trench, which keeps it off 18.

Liability shield 1/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licence gates this work; a forklift or overhead-crane card and lockout/tagout training are employer requirements, not a credential that makes you personally answerable, and any part defect traces to the QA sign-off and the customer's PPAP, not your name.

Trust premium 2/20

Anonymous artifact production. The customer buys a dimensioned part in a bin and never learns who ran the press; the only relationship that matters is with the setup lead and the next shift, and that's transferable the day you leave.

Judgment & accountability 6/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. Most decisions are bounded by the job packet — the setup sheet gives barrel zones, cushion, hold pressure and cycle time, and the gauge either passes or you scrap the shot — so your discretion is real mainly in diagnosing why parts are short or flashing, which is troubleshooting inside known limits rather than an ambiguous call nobody else can make.

Scored twice. An independent second run returned 35/100 — EXPOSED, agreeing with the verdict above.

This score sits on a verdict boundary. At 34/100 it is one point from COOKED. Re-scoring moves results by a point or two, so here the score is more informative than the label.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: Systems analysis & design partner link

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Timing Device Assemblers and Adjusters EXPOSED · 49/100 · you already have ~88% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Science, Repairing, Service Orientation, Systems Analysis

Machinists EXPOSED · 52/100 · you already have ~88% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Systems Analysis, Mathematics, Coordination, Installation

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~88% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.