← Risk register SOC 47-2171 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers

13,800 US workers · median $58,970/yr · Construction

EXPOSED

Cutting, bending, placing and tying rebar per engineered drawings is heavy, dirty, outdoor work on uneven decks and in footings — language AI cannot touch it, and general-purpose robots are nowhere near it. The real pressure is mechanization inside the trade: shop-prefabricated rebar cages, CNC bending lines, and rebar-tying robots like TyBot on flat bridge decks and slabs eat the most repetitive hours. No license shields the job and the engineer, not the placer, signs the drawings, so protection comes almost entirely from the body and the jobsite.

10-year outlook: Demand tracks infrastructure spending and stays real, but prefabrication and deck-tying robots shift hours from repetitive slab tying toward congested field fitting, rigging, and PT work — the crews shrink and the skill mix rises.

Score — 51/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 17 + 18 + 4 + 5 + 7 = 51.

Task resistance 17/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Wiring #8 bar into a column cage at height, walking mats on a mud footing, and hand-bending hooks to fit a congested beam-column joint are motion problems no model solves — the 17 rather than 20 reflects that flat-slab and bridge-deck tying, plus shop cutting and bending lists, are already being done by CNC lines and gantry-mounted tying robots.

Embodiment 18/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You carry and place bar in trenches, on suspended decks and in rain, kneeling on grade all shift with tying tools and cutters, at genuine risk of impalement and struck-by injury — an 18 rather than 20 only because prefabricated cages set by crane shift a slice of the work into a controlled shop.

Liability shield 4/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state license or certification is required to place rebar; OSHA 1926.701 impalement rules and the inspector's checklist bind the contractor, and the EOR's stamp on the placing drawings carries the design liability, leaving you with the 4 points that come from being the person the inspector watches tie the lap splice.

Trust premium 5/20

Anonymous artifact production. Your work is buried in concrete within days and no one who pays for the building knows your name; the 5 comes from foremen and superintendents rehiring specific rodbusters who can read a bar list and keep pace with the pour schedule, which is crew reputation, not client relationship.

Judgment & accountability 7/20

Meaningful discretion. Bar sizes, spacing, lap lengths and cover are all dimensioned on the placing drawings, so the 7 covers the real calls you make in the field — how to sequence congested mats, where to add ties and chairs so the cage doesn't shift under the pour, and when a conflict on the drawing has to go back to the engineer rather than be fudged.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence, unionization

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers SAFE · 71/100 · you already have ~92% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Installation

Terrazzo Workers and Finishers SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~89% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Equipment Selection

Brickmasons and Blockmasons SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~88% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Equipment Selection, Persuasion, Active Learning, Mathematics

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.