← Risk register SOC 51-7042 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing

61,420 US workers · median $43,380/yr · Production

COOKED

The core loop — load stock, set fences and feed rates, run a shaper/router/sander, inspect dimensions against a spec, log counts — is exactly what CNC machining centers and automated nesting lines were built to absorb, and the threat here is factory automation plus AI-generated toolpaths rather than chatbots. Real embodiment protects part of the day: jigs, fixtures, tool changes, sanding out defects, and wrestling warped or knotty stock still need hands in a shop. But there is no license, no signature, no customer relationship, and most decisions are executing a cut list someone else wrote.

10-year outlook: Employment keeps sliding as nesting CNCs and automated sanding lines consolidate multi-machine shops, with the surviving jobs concentrated in setup, tooling, maintenance, and custom millwork.

Score — 31/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 9 + 14 + 1 + 2 + 5 = 31.

Task resistance 9/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Setting a shaper fence, dialing feed rates, and running parts to a cut list is already what a CNC router with a nested-based toolpath does unattended overnight — the 9 rather than a 4 is because reading grain direction on warped or knotty hardwood, shimming a jig that's drifting, and hand-sanding tearout off a profile still stop the machine from running lights-out.

Embodiment 14/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You are standing at the machine all shift — hauling sheet goods and rough lumber onto the table, changing router bits and shaper cutters, clearing chip buildup, feeling for burn marks and snipe — and a woodshop with sawdust, moisture-variable stock, and pinch points is nothing like a clean cell, which is what puts this at 14 rather than the 8 of a bench assembler.

Liability shield 1/20

No licence, no signature requirement. There is no state license, no board, no stamp on the part: OSHA machine-guarding rules bind the employer, not you, and if a door stile comes out undersized the shop eats the scrap — the 1 rather than 0 reflects only in-house safety and machine-specific sign-offs that carry no legal weight outside the plant.

Trust premium 2/20

Anonymous artifact production. The dining table or cabinet door leaves the shop with a brand or a builder's name on it, never yours; the customer never learns which operator ran the moulder, and buyers reorder on price, lead time, and tolerance, not on you.

Judgment & accountability 5/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. The engineering drawing, cut list, and tooling sheet arrive already specified, and your calls — bump the feed to kill chatter, flip a board for better face, pull a part that's out of tolerance — are corrections inside a fixed spec rather than decisions about what gets made, which is a 5 and not a 2 only because a bad grain call or missed setup can scrap an expensive run of hardwood.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: Systems analysis & design partner link

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~91% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Instructing, Writing, Service Orientation

Timing Device Assemblers and Adjusters EXPOSED · 49/100 · you already have ~89% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Service Orientation, Writing, Repairing, Science

Machinists EXPOSED · 52/100 · you already have ~88% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Systems Analysis, Social Perceptiveness, Installation

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.